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The latest monitoring report released by the World Bank shows that Lebanon's GDP will drop by 6.6% in 2024. The latest Lebanon economic monitoring report released by the World Bank on the 10th shows that the real GDP of Lebanon will drop by 6.6% in 2024 due to the influence of lebanon war. According to the report, the large-scale displacement, destruction and the reduction of personal consumption caused by the conflict have had a devastating impact on Lebanon's economy and exacerbated the country's macroeconomic challenges. The report emphasizes that after the upgrading of lebanon war in September this year, Lebanese key industries, including tourism, have been seriously affected.Huatai Securities: 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies help the film to pick up. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the sector. Huatai Securities Research Report said that the National Film Bureau launched the "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" on December 9, and the "consumption season" will be from December 2024 to February 2025. A total of not less than 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies will be invested; On the supply side, movies for the Spring Festival in 2025 are scheduled one after another, including Bears, Gods 2 and Legend of the Condor Heroes, etc., and the head players gather, so the box office for the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. Looking forward to 2025, both ends of supply and demand are expected to improve, and the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate will be pushed upward. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the plate.CITIC Securities: In 2025, the performance boom cycle of the US Internet sector is expected to continue. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, looking forward to 2025, the macro resilience will continue, and the superimposed GenAI technology will continue to be introduced. The performance boom cycle of the US Internet sector is expected to continue, which is reflected in online advertising, e-commerce, streaming media, local life, financial technology and other sectors. However, the Trump administration's tariff increase & industry regulatory policies, inflation data, AI technology progress, etc. are expected to be continuous disturbance variables and need to be closely watched. At the level of individual stocks, the first-line Internet giants will still be the basic allocation. At the same time, we suggest that investors appropriately increase the allocation of small and medium-sized stocks in the fields of advertising technology and financial technology to enhance portfolio flexibility.

Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.Nikkei futures opened down 95 points at 39,290 on the Singapore Stock Exchange.The reporter explored: optimizing the transaction structure, the second-hand housing has become a hot spot in the market. "After the recent new property market policy, especially the reduction of transaction tax burden such as value-added tax, the second-hand housing is particularly popular." A senior real estate agent manager in Jindaotian District, Luohu District, Shenzhen, told the reporter, "Take several shed-reformed communities here as an example. Recently, more than 20 second-hand houses can be sold in each community every month. The price is low, the house is new and the location belongs to the urban area, which is very suitable for those who just need to buy a home." According to the data of Shenzhen Zhongyuan Research Center, the unit price of second-hand houses in the range of 40,000 yuan to 60,000 yuan accounted for 32.1% in November, ranking first and the increase was the most obvious. The transaction of new houses with a "building age" of less than 10 years was the most active. The reporter found out that in the second-hand housing market in several key cities, the transactions of new second-hand houses with relatively new "building age" are more active. Take Tianhe Park, a plate with high popularity of second-hand houses in Guangzhou, as an example. According to shell data, 41 sets were sold in this plate in October, a significant increase of 127.8% from the previous month. According to Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, the adjustment of tax policy will accelerate the listing of second-hand houses and good houses, which in turn will help buyers subscribe for second-hand houses and large-sized houses, which will have a positive effect on optimizing the transaction structure of second-hand houses and boosting second-hand housing transactions. (e company)

Guotai Junan's annual strategy for innovative drugs in 2025: innovative pharmaceutical companies have accelerated into the harvest period, and the valuation has been at a historical low in the past five years. Guotai Junan said that the centralized purchasing policy has become stable, mature and normalized, and the marginal impact has weakened. Innovative drugs have gained policy inclination in the medical insurance negotiation. In the past two years, the policy has continued to promote pharmaceutical innovation, and the top-level design and local supporting chain support the development of innovative drugs. Commercial insurance is expected to bring new growth momentum to China's pharmaceutical market, and the overall industry trend is upward. At present, the trend of innovative drug industry is improving, the supply continues to accelerate, and a number of domestic innovative drugs are approved soon, which is expected to drive a new round of heavy volume. At the same time, the commercialization has achieved remarkable results and has occupied a dominant position in some sub-sectors. Pharma's performance continued to differentiate, and innovative drugs and just-needed drugs performed well. Biotech commercialization continues to increase, per capita yield continues to increase, the node of turning losses is approaching, and innovation ushers in the harvest period. Horizontal comparison: compared with overseas peers, the overall valuation of domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies is in a historically low range; Vertical comparison: the valuation of SW- pharmaceutical biology and SW- chemical preparations is at a historical low in the past five years, and it is expected that the valuation of subsequent sectors will pick up.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.Byte internal judges that the ceiling of AI dialogue products may not be high, so it is necessary to improve the priority of cutting and dreaming. It is learned from informed sources that Byte management judges that AI dialogue products (or chatbot products) may only be the "intermediate state" of AI products, and a more ideal product form for a long time requires a more visual user experience and a lower threshold for users to use. Therefore, Byte has promoted the product priority of Dreaming, and tried to create a "Tik Tok" in the AI ​ ​ era with a new path. In this regard, I asked the byte for verification, and the byte did not respond. (36Kr)